A commendable performance by Como in the first half of the season after their return to the top tier gives fans hope of staying up. Against Lecce, they are likely to play from a position of strength: their attacking play has been solidified, while the challenger's unstable defence might offer chances.
Before their away defeat against a fiery Inter Milan (0:2), Como were unbeaten in three matches, scoring five goals. The Serie A newcomers performed particularly well against AS Roma (2:0), outplaying the Romans with substitutions (18 shots and seven on target in 90 minutes). Veteran Alessandro Gabrielloni came off the bench to deliver a goal and an assist. In seven home games, the team amassed 10.15 expected goals, scoring 10.
A home defeat to Lazio (1:2) left Lecce just two points above the relegation zone. They are among the bottom four Serie A teams for chances allowed (30.20 xGA). Away from home, Lecce have only collected four points in eight games—only Venezia fares worse on the road (3). At the Stadio Olimpico against AS Roma (1:4), the underdogs conceded 1.92 xGA. Numerous dangerous opportunities are regularly created against them.
Home support will enable Como to make a strong showing against Lecce, who will be without key defender Frédéric Guilbert due to suspension. We believe in the goals from Como.
